Racing Club Harelbeke vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
17º
15º
51
1º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 4
GUL
50%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WES
0 - 0
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 2
STA
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EEA
2 - 2
OUD
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DIK
0 - 5
EEA
20%
22%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EEA
1 - 0
EMU
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 2
EEA
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
EEA
2 - 1
ZEL
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |