Sporting Villanueva vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MER
1 - 2
SPV
47%
25%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SPV
1 - 1
ASJ
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
SPV
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPV
1 - 1
COR
75%
15%
9%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
SPV
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 1
MOR
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SNV
2 - 0
UDS
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 2
DPC
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 0
UDS
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UDS
2 - 1
CPL
31%
25%
45%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |