Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Sporting Villanueva vs Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
SPV
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SPV
5 - 2
BNS
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BNS
1 - 0
SPV
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
UDS
0 - 2
SPV
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPV
1 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
SPV
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
RAC
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARE
1 - 7
RAC
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RAC
4 - 1
BEZ
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |