Sporting Villanueva vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SNV
1 - 3
SPV
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SPV
1 - 2
DPC
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 3
SPV
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
SPV
3 - 0
CPL
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
SPV
0 - 1
UDS
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DBN
3 - 2
MOR
43%
27%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
SNV
54%
25%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DPC
2 - 2
MOR
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 0
CPL
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |