Sporting Trestina vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
LAQ
17%
24%
59%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
SPO
12%
20%
68%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPO
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
ULD
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 2
SDT
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 1
VIL
75%
18%
7%
|
26 | 75 | 49 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |