Sporting Trestina vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
ATT
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 2
SPO
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ACS
50%
24%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
SPO
49%
25%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
ORV
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 0
ACS
16%
20%
65%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 2
SPO
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
4 - 1
ORV
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 1
PIA
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |