Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 3
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
PRO
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USP
1 - 0
SPO
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
SDT
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TIF
1 - 1
SPO
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TIF
0 - 1
FOL
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 2
ACS
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 2
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GAV
3 - 0
FOL
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 2
ASD
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |