Sporting Trestina vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PIA
3 - 0
SPO
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
ACA
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 0
SPO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 1
USR
22%
21%
56%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 3
CAN
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 2
ACP
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SGP
0 - 0
BAS
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 1
CAN
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MPO
2 - 1
BAS
79%
15%
6%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAN
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |