Sporting Trestina vs Terranuova Traiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
17º
11º
2
10º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 62 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 62 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 39 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
USP
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
ACS
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
ASF
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Terranuova Traiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
1 - 0
ATT
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 0
ATT
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 1
SER
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
ATT
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |