Sporting Trestina vs Fulgens Foligno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+3307%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
17º
16º
41
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 75 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 46 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 42 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 39 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 38 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
38% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 27 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 71% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
58.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 1
SPO
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATT
52%
22%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
USP
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
ACS
33%
28%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Fulgens Foligno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 3
FUL
75%
15%
9%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
0 - 0
ASF
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 1
FUL
69%
19%
12%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
1 - 0
ATT
12%
17%
71%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | +4 |