Sporting Toulon Var vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
LES
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAE
1 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 1
LEP
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
COL
2 - 3
SPO
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
BEZ
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TAR
0 - 1
SAE
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LEP
1 - 0
TAR
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
TAR
0 - 2
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TAR
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 2
UZE
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |