Sporting Toulon Var vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1989 |
SPO
3 - 1
LEN
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
STL
0 - 0
SPO
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
SPO
1 - 2
MAR
37%
31%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
RAC
1 - 1
SPO
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
SPO
0 - 0
STR
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1989 |
ASS
0 - 0
NIC
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
MPL
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASS
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
ASS
3 - 2
TFC
43%
28%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
LIL
2 - 2
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |