Sporting Toulon Var vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEP
0 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 3
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BEZ
1 - 3
SPO
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
UZE
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PAU
2 - 0
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LES
1 - 1
SAE
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SAE
1 - 3
LEP
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
SAE
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAE
2 - 0
BEZ
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
SAE
0 - 1
FCM
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |