Sporting Toulon Var vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 2
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
SPO
3 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
STR
2 - 0
SPO
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
SPO
1 - 0
FCR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
AUX
1 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
NAN
3 - 1
STL
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
LEN
2 - 2
NAN
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
FCR
2 - 0
NAN
32%
28%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
NAN
3 - 1
TFC
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
NAN
0 - 1
GIR
58%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |