Sporting Toulon Var vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
SPO
0 - 6
MON
30%
23%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
SPO
1 - 3
LEN
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
SOC
2 - 0
SPO
64%
20%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1965 |
NAN
3 - 0
LYO
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
STR
1 - 1
NAN
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
SED
2 - 2
NAN
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
NAN
3 - 0
SOC
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
REN
4 - 0
NAN
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |