Sporting Toulon Var vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESW
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
AMI
1 - 2
SPO
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
SPO
4 - 2
NIC
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
ASN
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
ASN
0 - 1
ASB
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
ASN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
CSL
1 - 1
ASN
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
ASN
2 - 1
NIC
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
FCR
0 - 1
ASN
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |