Sporting Toulon Var vs Marseille Endoume analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
JUR
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 3
HYE
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ANN
0 - 0
SPO
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 0
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
NIC
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Marseille Endoume
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
CON
32%
24%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
HYE
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOA
59%
22%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |