Sporting Toulon Var vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
15º
13º
51
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SÈT
0 - 2
SPO
58%
26%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
FRE
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CRF
1 - 0
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
MOA
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CSL
0 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LYO
1 - 2
OLY
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 1
LYO
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LYO
3 - 0
OLY
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LYO
0 - 3
GRA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 4
LYO
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |