Sporting Toulon Var vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
LYO
3 - 2
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAC
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
NAN
4 - 0
SPO
50%
29%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
SPO
3 - 0
MPL
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
NIC
1 - 2
SPO
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
MPL
5 - 0
LIL
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 1
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
MAR
4 - 1
LIL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |