Sporting Toulon Var vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
7º
19
2º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 49 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 44 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 41 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 40 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 36 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
3 - 2
AND
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
BER
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
IST
3 - 1
SPO
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
MOA
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
JUR
1 - 2
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
MOA
3 - 0
JUR
49%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
JUR
3 - 1
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
JUR
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
JUR
0 - 3
HYE
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |