Sporting Toulon Var vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
15º
13º
39
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
JUR
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 4
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 2
LYO
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SÈT
0 - 2
SPO
58%
26%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
FRE
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 1
HYE
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HYE
0 - 1
OLY
42%
28%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSL
3 - 0
HYE
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HYE
1 - 1
GRA
27%
28%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
THO
0 - 1
HYE
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |