Sporting Toulon Var vs ES Pennoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ECH
0 - 4
SPO
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
6 - 1
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 0
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
AGD
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPO
59%
22%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAU
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
ECH
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 0
ESP
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 3
OLY
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AGD
2 - 0
ESP
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |