Sporting Toulon Var vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AIX
0 - 5
SPO
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
SCR
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
FAB
73%
16%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NIM
3 - 0
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 3
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUB
0 - 0
AGD
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FAB
2 - 0
AUB
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 2
AUB
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AUB
4 - 0
BAS
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ILE
1 - 1
AUB
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |