Sporting Toulon Var vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
ILE
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 2
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 0
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 4
AUB
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
AUB
3 - 3
DIJ
6%
13%
81%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 5
OLY
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AGD
1 - 0
AUB
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |