Sporting Toulon Var vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
1 - 0
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAU
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 2
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
SPO
41%
24%
34%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
3 - 3
AJA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
AUB
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
2 - 0
AUB
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
4 - 1
VAU
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AGD
0 - 1
AUB
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |