Sporting Toulon Var vs Arles II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ILE
1 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LAS
1 - 0
SPO
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
AIX
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 1
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arles II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ARL
1 - 1
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ARL
1 - 1
NIM
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AUB
0 - 0
ARL
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ARL
1 - 1
ILE
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARL
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |