Sporting San Miguelito vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
SMI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
SMI
0 - 0
AMA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 1
SMI
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SMI
0 - 3
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SMI
2 - 2
TAU
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFF
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GEM
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 3
CHO
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |