Sporting San Miguelito vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 0
SMI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
SMI
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 2
AMA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 2
CHE
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
SMI
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
NAC
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
AFC
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
NAC
69%
21%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHO
25%
28%
47%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
TAU
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -2 |