Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
5º
3º
25
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 1
COS
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
SMI
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 1
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
TAU
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
SFF
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
SFF
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 2
IND
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SFF
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |