CONCACAF League 1/16
Global 4-1
Sporting San Miguelito vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
SMI
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
SMI
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 1
AFC
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SMI
4 - 1
CSH
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 2
AFC
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 0
MIX
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
SMI
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
TOR
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
COM
0 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |