Sporting San Miguelito vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
SMI
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SMI
3 - 2
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
SMI
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
TAU
0 - 1
SMI
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SMI
0 - 0
AMA
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
COS
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
IND
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
CHO
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SFF
0 - 1
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
SUN
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |