Sporting San Miguelito vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 2
ARA
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 0
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SFF
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |