Sporting San Miguelito vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
5º
3º
21
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SMI
21%
29%
50%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 0
SFF
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 1
COS
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
SMI
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 2
COS
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 1
CHO
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
SFF
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |