Sporting San Miguelito vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 4
SMI
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SMI
3 - 1
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 1
SMI
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 1
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 1
SFF
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 2
AMA
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 3
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |