Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
6º
3º
4
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 31 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
6% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 1
SUN
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 1
SMI
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 1
UME
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
TAU
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 1
TAU
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
AZU
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
AMA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
AZU
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
AZU
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |