Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
3º
27
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 0
UME
67%
22%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
SMI
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 1
SMI
29%
30%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
SMI
20%
28%
52%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 2
COS
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 2
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
AFC
37%
30%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
AZU
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
TAU
28%
29%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |