Sporting San Miguelito vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
3º
27
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 0
UME
67%
22%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
SMI
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 1
SMI
29%
30%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
SMI
20%
28%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 2
COS
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 2
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
AFC
37%
30%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
AZU
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
TAU
28%
29%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |