Sporting San Miguelito vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
6º
3º
17
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 29 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 23 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
5.5% | 12% |
|
Play-offs
|
29.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
SMI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
SMI
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
SMI
41%
30%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
SMI
33%
31%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
3 - 2
COS
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
TAU
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 2
ARA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
ARA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
SMI
33%
31%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
AFC
32%
30%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |