Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 2
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
SMI
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 1
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHO
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
TAU
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |