Sporting FC vs Santos de Guápiles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
8º
4º
7
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
59.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CSH
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 1
MUN
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
CSC
43%
25%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
30%
26%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SAP
1 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |