Sporting FC vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
6º
6º
12
7º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 43 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 41 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 38 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 35 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 32 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 31 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 30 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 19 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
12º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
24.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
SPO
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPO
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAP
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
CSH
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 1
SPO
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
CSH
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LDA
5 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 0
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |