Sporting FC vs Municipal Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
7º
15
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 2
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAP
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 3
CSH
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
4 - 1
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
PFC
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAP
7 - 0
GRE
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |