Sporting FC vs Municipal Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
5º
4º
16
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
CSC
42%
23%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 4
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
PER
53%
22%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SPO
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LDA
5 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
LDA
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
GRE
13%
16%
71%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
4 - 3
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |