Sporting FC vs CS Cartaginés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
5º
4º
37
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 1
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
SPO
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
SPO
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
CS Cartaginés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 0
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 2
CSC
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 0
CSH
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
CSC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 0
CSC
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |