Sporting Roşiorii vs Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
7º
7º
9
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
3 | 38 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 36 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 34 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 32 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 26 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 21 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 21 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 17 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 14 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 13 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Roşiorii
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SRO
3 - 1
ARG
6%
14%
80%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SRO
1 - 2
DUN
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SRO
4 - 2
ACS
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UBR
1 - 0
SRO
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COZ
1 - 3
SRO
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 1
BOT
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
ALE
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VCO
1 - 4
ALE
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SBU
2 - 1
ALE
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |