Sporting Recco vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
77%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Recco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FBC
1 - 0
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
SPO
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 4
SAN
13%
18%
70%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
SPO
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
SAV
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 3
GHI
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
GRO
4 - 4
LIG
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MPO
2 - 1
GRO
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 2
ARG
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 1
GRO
32%
24%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |