Sporting Recco vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Recco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 3
VMO
17%
20%
64%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
SPO
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MPO
3 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
USR
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAV
2 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
USR
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
1 - 1
SAV
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
SES
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 4
SAV
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |