Sporting Pontenova vs CD Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
80.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Pontenova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
PON
59%
20%
21%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
LOU
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
PON
43%
24%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PON
4 - 3
TAB
26%
23%
51%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
CHA
10%
17%
74%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
CDC
8%
15%
78%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
AES
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 3
CDC
6%
14%
80%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 1
RIO
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |