Sporting Mêda vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mêda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 1
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 5
GON
8%
15%
78%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPO
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
SPO
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
LAM
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GON
1 - 0
LUS
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
RDA
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
LUS
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 1
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |