Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Sporting CP vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
SPB
3 - 1
SCP
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SCP
47%
24%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SAN
0 - 3
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
SCP
4 - 0
FAB
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SCP
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1967 |
ZUR
1 - 0
NTT
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1967 |
NTT
2 - 1
ZUR
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
FCB
1 - 0
ZUR
81%
12%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCB
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +2 |