Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 2-3
Sporting CP vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
LYO
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
26%
23%
52%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 1
LYO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
BEL
4 - 2
SCP
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
65%
19%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
26%
23%
52%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OLH
1 - 1
VST
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VST
3 - 0
SEI
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 0
VST
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |